Problems with Free Trade Agreements

Foreign direct investment inflows, as well as bank loans and other types of foreign financing, have financed the construction of thousands of Mexican and Canadian factories that produce goods for export to the United States. Canada and Mexico have absorbed $326 billion in foreign direct investment from all sources since 1993. One result is that the United States absorbed 84% of Mexico`s total exports in 2002, up from 77% in 1993.5 Growth in U.S. imports from these plants contributed significantly to the increase in the U.S. trade deficit and associated job losses. The growth of foreign production capacity in these plants has played an important role in the rapid growth of exports to the United States. However, the impact of NAFTA in the United States was often obscured by the boom and bust cycle that boosted domestic consumption, investment and speculation in the mid- and late 1990s. Between 1994 (when NAFTA was implemented) and 2000, total employment in the United States grew rapidly, causing overall unemployment to fall to a record high. However, unemployment began to rise in early 2001 and between March 2001 and October 2003, 2.4 million jobs were lost in the national economy (BLS 2003). These job losses were mainly concentrated in the manufacturing sector, which has seen a total decline of 2.4 million jobs since March 2001. As employment growth in the economy has dried up, the underlying problems caused by U.S. trade deficits have become much more evident, particularly in manufacturing.

The FREE TRADE AGREEMENT between the United States and Morocco entered into force on January 1, 2006. When the agreement came into effect, 95% of consumer and industrial goods manufactured in the United States became immediately duty-free. Tariffs on most other eligible products will be eliminated over a maximum period of nine years. For a limited number of products, tariffs will be phased out over a period of up to 15 years. Trade agreements also strengthen the business climate by including commitments to reduce and eliminate tariffs and eliminate various non-tariff barriers that restrict or distort trade flows. In the early 1980s, the form of U.S. trade agreements began to change. Until then, successive post-war U.S.

governments pursued only comprehensive global trade agreements and criticized preferential agreements limited to a few countries. Europe`s common market and economic union have been largely exempted from this criticism because of the broader geopolitical implications – notably those that held together the nations that had fought two catastrophic wars in the first half of the twentieth century. Nevertheless, U.S. policymakers have consistently condemned Britain`s preferential trade agreements with the former colonies, as well as France`s preferential treatment of certain trading partners. Young adults and Hispanics continue to view free trade agreements particularly positively: today, 69 percent of those under 30 say the trade deals were good for the United States, while only 24 percent say they were bad for the country. In comparison, about half of Americans aged 50 and older (51 percent) positively rate trade deals, while 39 percent say they were generally bad for the country. More Americans say that free trade agreements drive down prices in the U.S. than they do. Currently, 36% say they drive down prices, 30% say higher, while 24% say they don`t make a difference.

The proportion that says free trade agreements drive down prices in this country has increased by five percentage points since 2010 (compared to 31%). The new poll shows that general opinions on whether trade deals are good for the U.S. are 10 percentage points higher than they were in 2011 (58% now, 48% at the time). From the 1930s to the 1980s, the United States` fundamental political fault line in trade was economic in nature. Workers and businesses threatened by trade competition have supported higher barriers to trade; those who saw profits wanted to reduce them. Since the former, faced with losses, were more politically active, US negotiators had to look for ”trade winners” (exporters, international investors) and engage them politically. They also used broader arguments, citing economists` estimates of the overall social benefits of trade and pointing to international political gains. And they have repeatedly warned against the ”slippery slope” of protectionism. Overall, free trade advocates prevailed, although there were periods (such as the 1980s) when a sharp increase in imports created a serious protectionist threat.

Today, the European Union is a remarkable example of free trade. Member States form an essentially borderless unit for trade purposes, and the introduction of the euro by most of these countries continues to lead the way. It should be noted that this system is regulated by a Brussels-based bureaucracy, which has to deal with the many trade-related issues that arise between representatives of the Member States. As with other attitudes toward trade deals, there are only modest differences between Republicans, Democrats, and independents in their views on the personal impact of such deals. And as is the case with views on the impact on the nation, young people express more positive views about the impact of trade agreements on their own finances. Those under 30 are the only age group in which a majority (56%) say their finances have been supported by free trade agreements. More adults rate their personal financial situation as excellent or good today than they did in November 2009 (43% today, 35% then). And among those who have a positive view of their personal financial situation, the way they see the impact of free trade agreements on their finances has greatly improved. The agreement entered into force on 1 August 2006. All bilateral trade in industrial and consumer goods will become duty-free immediately after the entry into force of the agreement.

In addition, Bahrain and the United States will grant each other immediate duty-free access to virtually all products in their tariffs, phasing out tariffs on the remaining handful of products within a decade. Since the onset of the recession in early 2001, displaced workers in the retail sector have been particularly affected. Workers experienced longer periods of unemployment and had much more difficulty finding new jobs. Many have come to the conclusion that their manufacturing jobs will never return. The growth of the trade deficit since the beginning of 2001 has contributed to an absolute decline in employment, and not only to a relocation of jobs from manufacturing to other sectors. Congress approved the negotiations in 1984, and the Canada-United States. The free trade agreement was concluded in 1988. When, to everyone`s surprise, Mexico sought a similar deal, the result was the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) of three countries. This turned out to be the most controversial of all U.S. trade deals, in part because average wages in Mexico were only a fraction of those in the U.S., giving Mexican products an edge over labor-intensive products, threatening U.S. jobs. After a Herculean struggle, the Clinton administration gained congressional approval in 1993.

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